The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 01:31 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–3 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 51.98%1.92fair odd
EV -0.207%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.90%51.92%52.22%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.34%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 48.02%2.08fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.995%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.08%47.78%49.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.941.982.002.0451.55%50.41%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 51.98%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 48.02%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.924. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.920, with an expected value of -0.207%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 21:29
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.727%E -0.381%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 21:50
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.727%E -0.381%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 11:39
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-06 01:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 20:31
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:29
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:29
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.33%E -1.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.87%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.03%E -0.995%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 00:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:09
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:19
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 01:27
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 20:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.39%E -2.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 04:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 20:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:19
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 01:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-06 01:29
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-06 01:30
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:20
Novig◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-06-06 01:30