A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-06-06 01:31 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–3 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 51.98%1.92odd justa
EV -0.207%
Vantagem -0.108%
Kelly -0.225%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.90%51.92%52.22%52.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.34%54.64%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 48.02%2.08odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.995%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.30%48.08%47.78%49.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.941.982.002.0451.55%50.41%50.00%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 21:29
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.727%E -0.381%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 21:50
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.727%E -0.381%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 11:39
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-06 01:29
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 20:31
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:29
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:29
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.33%E -1.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.87%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 00:50
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.03%E -0.995%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 23:20
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 22:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 00:19
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:19
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 08:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 01:27
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 20:29
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.39%E -2.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 23:19
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 04:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 01:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 20:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 00:20
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:19
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:19
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 12:20
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 21:49
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 01:28
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 01:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-06 01:29
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-06 01:30
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:20
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-06-06 01:30