La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-06 01:31 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–3 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 51.98%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.207%
Ventaja -0.108%
Kelly -0.225%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.90%51.92%52.22%52.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.841.831.9257.14%54.34%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 48.02%2.08momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.995%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%48.08%47.78%49.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.941.982.002.0451.55%50.41%50.00%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 01:29
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.207%E -0.108%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-05 21:29
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.727%E -0.381%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 21:50
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.727%E -0.381%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-05 11:39
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-06 01:29
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 20:31
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:29
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 20:29
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.33%E -1.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.87%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 00:50
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.03%E -0.995%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 23:20
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 22:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 00:19
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:09
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:19
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 20:19
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 08:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 01:27
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 20:29
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.37%E -2.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.39%E -2.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 23:19
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 04:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 01:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 20:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 00:20
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:19
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:19
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:20
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.43%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 12:20
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 23:19
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 20:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 21:49
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 01:28
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-06 01:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-06 01:29
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-06 01:30
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-06 00:20
Novig1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.6%2026-06-06 01:30