The School of OddsMinnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians
Head to Head
Option 1: Minnesota Twins (Local)
Odds
1.6859.52%Min
1.7457.56%Mean
1.7357.64%Median
1.8055.56%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.66%1.863Min
55.70%1.795Max
54.96%1.820Mean
54.83%1.824Median
54.94%1.820IQM
55.00%1.818Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 54.94%
EV -1.10%Edge -0.611%Kelly -1.37%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.1147.29%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.2045.45%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.30%2.257Min
46.34%2.158Max
45.04%2.220Mean
45.17%2.214Median
45.06%2.219IQM
45.00%2.222Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 45.06%
EV -0.878%Edge -0.399%Kelly -0.732%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Minnesota Twins (Local) ▼ | Cleveland Guardians (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV +2.75% E +1.47% K +3.16% G +0.087% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -15.75% E -8.42% K -18.10% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 23:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 54.43%EV -1.10% E -0.611% K -1.37% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 45.57%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.42%EV -2.75% E -1.55% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 44.58%EV -0.878% E -0.399% K -0.732% G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.75% E -1.55% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -1.78% E -0.816% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.75% E -1.55% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -1.78% E -0.816% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 18:20 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.75% E -1.55% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -1.78% E -0.816% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -2.75% E -1.55% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -7.64% E -3.73% K -7.27% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.64%EV -3.30% E -1.87% K -4.34% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.36%EV -4.48% E -2.11% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.90%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 45.10%EV -4.03% E -1.89% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.78%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.22%EV -4.48% E -2.11% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.78%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.22%EV -4.48% E -2.11% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.78%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.22%EV -4.48% E -2.11% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 20:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -3.85% E -2.20% K -5.13% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -6.28% E -3.02% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.40% E -2.53% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.40% E -2.53% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 19:40 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.40% E -2.53% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 20:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.40% E -2.53% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.04%EV -4.40% E -2.53% K -5.94% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 44.96%EV -4.03% E -1.89% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-07 20:35 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 01:08 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 20:35 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 20:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.95% E -2.86% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.50% E -3.19% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.50% E -3.19% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 21:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.50% E -3.19% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -4.48% E -2.11% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.50% E -3.19% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.50% E -3.19% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 20:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.74%EV -5.50% E -3.19% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.26%EV -6.28% E -3.02% K -5.82% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 20:33 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -6.04% E -3.53% K -8.51% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -6.04% E -3.53% K -8.51% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.13% E -1.46% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 21:20 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -6.04% E -3.53% K -8.51% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.38% E -2.56% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 23:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48% NM 54.64%EV -6.04% E -3.53% K -8.51% G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54% NM 45.36%EV -7.19% E -3.49% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52% NM 54.35%EV -7.69% E -4.58% K -11.31% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.65%EV -9.89% E -4.94% K -9.89% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52% NM 54.35%EV -7.69% E -4.58% K -11.31% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.65%EV -9.89% E -4.94% K -9.89% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Minnesota Twins (Local) | Cleveland Guardians (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05% NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 20:10 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95% NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95% NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.76I 56.82% NM 54.40% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.60% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.50% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.50% | 9.9% | 2026-07-07 20:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61% NM 53.52% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 46.48% | 13.2% | 2026-07-07 23:55 |