La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 53.62%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.60%53.68%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.781.8358.82%56.21%56.18%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 46.38%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.743%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -0.652%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.40%46.32%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.062.1451.28%48.54%48.54%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.67%E -0.788%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.67%E -0.788%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 23:30 |
| Everygame | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.67%E -0.788%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.21%E -0.567%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-08 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 21:05 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.743%E -0.347%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 20:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:39 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 21:03 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 23:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 21:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 21:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 23:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 21:25 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.85%E -2.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.85%E -2.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 23:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.16%E -4.12%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 21:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 23:39 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 21:05 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 21:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:33 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 21:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 21:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 21:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:36 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.24%E -4.19%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 23:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.85%E -5.21%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 23:39 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 23:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 21:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 23:40 |