A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-08 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 6–5 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 53.62%1.87odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.60%53.68%54.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.781.8358.82%56.21%56.18%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 46.38%2.16odd justa
EV -0.743%
Vantagem -0.347%
Kelly -0.652%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.40%46.32%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.062.062.1451.28%48.54%48.54%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 21:14
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 23:40
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.67%E -0.788%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 23:20
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.67%E -0.788%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 23:30
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.67%E -0.788%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 23:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.41%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 23:20
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.21%E -0.567%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 23:15
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 21:05
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.743%E -0.347%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-08 21:10
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 22:40
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:44
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:20
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:39
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:03
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 23:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 23:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 21:15
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.85%E -2.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 21:18
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 23:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:25
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.85%E -2.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.85%E -2.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:24
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.16%E -4.12%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:40
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:05
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 21:05
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:40
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:40
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:40
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:39
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:40
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 21:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:38
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:33
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:30
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 21:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:14
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:36
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 22:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.24%E -4.19%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:55
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.85%E -5.21%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-08 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 23:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-08 23:39
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-07-08 23:39
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-07-08 23:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-08 23:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-08 21:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-08 21:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-07-08 23:40