Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-13 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 53.83%1.86fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.89%53.92%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.771.8359.52%56.46%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 46.17%2.17fair odd
EV +0.180%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.11%46.08%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.072.1750.00%48.27%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Twins (Local): 53.83%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 46.17%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.166. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.170, producing a positive expected value of +0.180%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV +0.180%E +0.083%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 08:45
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.21%E -0.563%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.02%E -1.11%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.67%E -0.783%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 14:30
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.56%E -1.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.67%E -0.783%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 13:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -2.59%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 08:41
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.48%E -0.811%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 13:29
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 13:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 12:23
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:39
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.48%E -4.99%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.48%E -0.811%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.51%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.48%E -0.811%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.51%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 13:30
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.48%E -0.811%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.51%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 13:29
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.64%E -2.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 13:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.64%E -2.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 14:14
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 13:44
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 13:44
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.41%E -4.31%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.44%E -2.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.64%E -2.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.90%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.90%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 13:55
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.71%E -2.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:34
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:15
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.28%E -3.10%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.28%E -3.10%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.25%E -2.98%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.28%E -3.10%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:53
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.79%E -3.31%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.56%E -5.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 12:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.33%E -3.64%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.67%E -3.83%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-09-13 14:30
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-09-13 14:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 08:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 14:15
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 13:25
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-09-13 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%5.9%2026-09-13 14:50