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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-09-13 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 2–9 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 53.49%1.87odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.97%53.60%53.49%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.781.8358.82%56.05%56.18%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 46.51%2.15odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.662%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%46.40%46.51%48.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.76%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 53.49%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 46.51%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.12, com valor esperado de -1.40%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-13 15:30
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.87%E -0.886%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.87%E -0.886%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 17:59
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 15:57
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:49
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.92%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.92%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.64%E -1.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:20
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 11:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:25
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:15
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:15
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.73%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 18:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:58
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.46%E -4.31%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.45%E -3.74%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.53%E -4.99%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.99%E -3.49%K -6.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.06%E -5.33%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38%0.3%2026-09-13 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-13 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-13 17:40
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-13 17:25
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-13 17:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 15:35
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 14:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 17:50
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-09-13 17:20