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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-13 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 53.64%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.68%53.66%54.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.21%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 46.36%2.16momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%46.32%46.34%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.062.052.1250.00%48.43%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Minnesota Twins (Local): 53.64%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 46.36%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.16. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.12, con un valor esperado de -1.72%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.72%E -0.812%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-13 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 16:01
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.84%E -1.00%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 15:57
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.72%E -0.812%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 15:55
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 15:15
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:01
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.89%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:45
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.72%E -0.812%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:30
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:45
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.58%E -1.72%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.65%E -1.26%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-13 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-13 16:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-13 16:01
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-13 16:01
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-09-13 15:55
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 15:35
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 14:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-13 15:55
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-13 16:01
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%4.6%2026-09-13 15:35