Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%59.58%59.55%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.601.611.65100.00%62.68%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.401%
Kelly +0.668%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.42%40.45%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.342.362.50100.00%42.74%42.37%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 59.60%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 40.40%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.00%E +0.401%K +0.668%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 05:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.615%E -0.250%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.02%E -0.416%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 14:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.23%E -0.922%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 00:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.85%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 17:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.87%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -40.40%E -40.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -59.60%E -59.60%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |