La scuola delle quote

Minnesota Twins v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-04-18 00:11 UTC

Finale: Minnesota Twins 1–2 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Casa)

Previsione 59.60%1.68quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%59.58%59.55%61.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.601.611.65100.00%62.68%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.40%2.48quota equa
EV +1.00%
Vantaggio +0.401%
Kelly +0.668%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.57%40.42%40.45%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.002.342.362.50100.00%42.74%42.37%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.00%E +0.401%K +0.668%G +0.007%3.7%2026-04-17 05:54
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.615%E -0.250%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 23:55
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.02%E -0.416%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-17 23:55
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-17 23:55
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-17 23:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 14:46
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.23%E -0.922%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 23:55
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 22:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 23:20
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:20
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 00:06
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:04
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:10
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:09
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:09
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.85%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 17:38
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:50
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:59
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 23:50
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 23:05
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 23:55
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.87%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:05
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 23:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 00:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 00:00
NordicBet1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -40.40%E -40.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -59.60%E -59.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-04-18 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-18 00:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-18 00:05
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-18 00:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-18 00:10
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-18 00:05
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%3.4%2026-04-18 00:10