La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-04-18 00:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 1–2 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 59.60%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%59.58%59.55%61.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.601.611.65100.00%62.68%62.11%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 40.40%2.48momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.401%
Kelly +0.668%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.57%40.42%40.45%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.002.342.362.50100.00%42.74%42.37%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.00%E +0.401%K +0.668%G +0.007%3.7%2026-04-17 05:54
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.615%E -0.250%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 23:55
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.02%E -0.416%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-17 23:55
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-17 23:55
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-17 23:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 14:46
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.23%E -0.922%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 23:55
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 22:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 23:20
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:20
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 00:06
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:04
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:10
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 15:09
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:09
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.85%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 17:38
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:50
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:59
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 23:50
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 23:05
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 23:55
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.87%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:05
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 00:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 23:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:10
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 00:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 00:00
NordicBet1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -40.40%E -40.40%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -59.60%E -59.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-04-18 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-18 00:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-18 00:05
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-04-18 00:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-18 00:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-18 00:10
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-18 00:05
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%3.4%2026-04-18 00:10