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Minnesota Twins v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 59.60%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%59.58%59.55%61.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.601.611.65100.00%62.68%62.11%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 40.40%2.48momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.401%
Kelly +0.668%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.57%40.42%40.45%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.002.342.362.50100.00%42.74%42.37%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 59.60%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 40.40%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.00%E +0.401%K +0.668%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 05:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.615%E -0.250%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -1.02%E -0.416%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.752%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 14:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.23%E -0.922%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 00:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.85%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 17:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.65%E -1.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.87%E -2.52%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.43%E -4.09%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.10%E -4.04%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -40.40%E -40.40%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -59.60%E -59.60%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 00:10 |