Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV -0.986%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.45%40.34%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.32%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%59.55%59.66%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6465.36%62.38%62.11%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 40.41%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 59.59%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.986%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.986%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.986%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 19:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.39%E -0.570%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.39%E -0.570%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.85%E -3.71%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.79%E -0.738%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.79%E -0.738%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 05:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 14:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 06:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.43%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.71%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 0.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19% | 0.1% | 2026-04-13 23:38 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |