A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-04-13 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 13–6 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 40.41%2.47odd justa
EV -0.986%
Vantagem -0.402%
Kelly -0.680%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.60%40.45%40.34%42.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.32%42.55%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 59.59%1.68odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.29%59.55%59.66%61.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.611.6465.36%62.38%62.11%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.986%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-13 19:34
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.986%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 19:35
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.39%E -0.570%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-13 23:39
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.39%E -0.570%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.85%E -3.71%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 15:55
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.79%E -0.738%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 20:40
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.79%E -0.738%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 23:39
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 23:14
MyBookie.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 20:49
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 15:55
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-13 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-13 23:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 23:34
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 20:44
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 13:05
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 13:54
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 23:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 23:39
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 22:34
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 22:04
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 22:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 22:04
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 02:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 23:39
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 14:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 05:39
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 21:15
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 23:25
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 14:25
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 23:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 01:59
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 23:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 23:39
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 14:25
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 23:25
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 06:59
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.43%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 23:39
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 23:39
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 23:40
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 23:34
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:40
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:39
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:40
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:40
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:40
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:39
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:40
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 23:39
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 23:35
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 23:35
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 23:34
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 23:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 23:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 23:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.71%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 23:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 23:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%0.0%2026-04-13 23:39
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19%0.1%2026-04-13 23:38
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-04-13 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-04-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-04-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-04-13 23:40
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-13 23:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-13 16:40
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-04-13 23:35
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%3.3%2026-04-13 23:40