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Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 40.41%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.986%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.680%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.60%40.45%40.34%42.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.32%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boston Red Sox (Visitante)
Predicción 59.59%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.29%59.55%59.66%61.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.611.6465.36%62.38%62.11%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 40.41%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 59.59%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.47. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.45, con un valor esperado de -0.986%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.986%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.986%E -0.402%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 19:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.39%E -0.570%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.39%E -0.570%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.85%E -3.71%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.79%E -0.738%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.79%E -0.738%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.20%E -0.908%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 05:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.31%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 14:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 06:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.43%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.07%E -2.53%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.71%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 0.0% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.81% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.19% | 0.1% | 2026-04-13 23:38 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29% | 3.3% | 2026-04-13 23:40 |