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Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Prediction 64.44%1.55fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.23%64.47%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 35.56%2.81fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.233%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.77%35.53%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.702.8040.82%37.09%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 64.44%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 35.56%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.420%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.41%E -0.924%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.91%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-10 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 02:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 23:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.09%E -4.44%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 23:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.84%E -0.668%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 08:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 23:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 08:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 08:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 05:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 05:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 05:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -12.87%E -5.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 08:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.82%E -2.60%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.86%E -5.49%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 23:40 |