La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-04-10 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 64.44%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.924%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.23%64.47%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 35.56%2.81momio equitativo
EV -0.420%
Ventaja -0.150%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%35.77%35.53%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.702.702.8040.82%37.09%37.04%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.41%E -0.924%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.91%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 23:39
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:30
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:30
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:39
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:34
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:55
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:38
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.09%E -4.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 23:28
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 20:24
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 17:44
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 08:44
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 22:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.84%E -0.668%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 08:29
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:36
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 08:40
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 07:45
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:50
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:35
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:35
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 08:44
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:55
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:55
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:55
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:40
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -12.87%E -5.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:29
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 08:45
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 21:20
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:40
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.82%E -2.60%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 08:44
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.86%E -5.49%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:40
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 23:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:40
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%3.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%3.1%2026-04-10 23:35
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-04-10 23:40