L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 23:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 64.44%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.924%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.23%64.47%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.56%2.81cote équitable
EV -0.420%
Avantage -0.150%
Kelly -0.233%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%35.77%35.53%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.702.702.8040.82%37.09%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.41%E -0.924%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.91%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.06%E -1.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 23:39
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:30
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.13%E -0.407%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:30
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.70%E -1.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:39
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:34
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 02:55
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 23:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.31%E -3.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:38
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.35%E -2.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.09%E -4.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 23:28
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 20:24
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 17:44
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 08:44
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-10 22:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.84%E -0.668%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 08:29
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 21:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 23:36
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 08:40
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 07:45
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:50
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:35
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 21:35
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 08:44
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:55
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:55
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 05:55
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.53%E -2.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:40
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:30
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -5.92%E -4.06%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -12.87%E -5.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:29
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.20%E -0.799%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 08:45
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.57%E -4.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 21:20
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:40
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.21%E -5.01%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.82%E -2.60%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 08:44
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.86%E -5.49%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.75%E -2.17%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:40
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.98%E -1.47%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 23:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.79%E -6.99%K -24.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.420%E -0.150%K -0.233%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:40
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-04-10 23:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%3.0%2026-04-10 23:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%3.1%2026-04-10 23:35
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-04-10 23:40