Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 47.32%2.11fair odd
EV -0.626%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.32%47.26%48.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.46%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 52.68%1.90fair odd
EV +0.617%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.15%52.68%52.74%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.801.9157.80%55.23%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 47.32%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 52.68%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.617%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%2.4%2026-04-15 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%2.4%2026-04-15 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%2.4%2026-04-15 23:38
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.963%E -0.512%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-15 23:24
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.963%E -0.512%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.797%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 21:19
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.797%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:14
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.54%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.07%E -1.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 21:53
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 23:36
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:19
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:59
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:09
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.57%E -0.756%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 23:04
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 21:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:09
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 20:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 20:39
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:19
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:34
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 21:14
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.28%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 20:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:24
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 23:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.626%E -0.298%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.87%E -5.12%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-04-15 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-04-15 23:40
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-04-15 23:34
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-15 23:39
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-04-15 23:38
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-15 23:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-15 21:49
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-04-15 23:29