L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 23:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 47.32%2.11cote équitable
EV -0.626%
Avantage -0.298%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%47.32%47.26%48.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.46%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.68%1.90cote équitable
EV +0.617%
Avantage +0.323%
Kelly +0.678%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.15%52.68%52.74%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.811.801.9157.80%55.23%55.56%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%2.4%2026-04-15 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%2.4%2026-04-15 23:39
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%2.4%2026-04-15 23:38
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.963%E -0.512%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-15 23:24
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.963%E -0.512%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.797%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 21:19
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.797%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.54%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:09
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.07%E -1.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 21:53
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 23:36
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:19
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:56
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 21:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:59
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:59
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:29
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:09
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:09
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.57%E -0.756%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 23:04
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 21:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:09
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 20:59
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 20:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 21:19
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:25
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:34
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 21:14
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 23:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 23:04
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 22:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.28%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 20:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:24
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:24
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 23:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.626%E -0.298%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.87%E -5.12%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-04-15 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-04-15 23:40
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-04-15 23:34
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-15 23:39
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%0.9%2026-04-15 23:38
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-15 23:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-15 21:49
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-04-15 23:29