Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-04-15 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

47%

53%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 47.32%2.11momio equitativo

EV -0.626%

Ventaja -0.298%

Kelly -0.569%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

45.17%47.32%47.26%48.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.952.022.022.1051.28%49.46%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 52.68%1.90momio equitativo

EV +0.617%

Ventaja +0.323%

Kelly +0.678%

Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

51.15%52.68%52.74%54.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.731.811.801.9157.80%55.23%55.56%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 47.32%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 52.68%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.90. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.91, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.617%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
GTbets🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%	2.4%	2026-04-15 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%	2.4%	2026-04-15 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +0.617%E +0.323%K +0.678%G +0.004%	2.4%	2026-04-15 23:38
Pinnacle🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.963%E -0.512%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-04-15 23:24
1xBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.963%E -0.512%K -1.09%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-04-15 23:04
Everygame🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.797%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-04-15 21:19
BetUS🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.49%E -0.797%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-04-15 22:14
TAB🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.54%E -1.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-15 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.07%E -1.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-15 21:53
Bovada🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.89%E -2.43%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-15 23:36
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 21:19
Fliff🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 23:39
Caesars🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 20:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 21:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 20:59
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 20:59
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-15 23:29
NordicBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-15 23:09
Betsson🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-15 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.57%E -0.756%K -1.46%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-04-15 23:04
FanDuel🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-15 21:35
PlayUp🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:09
Neds🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 20:59
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.12%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-15 23:04
ReBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-15 20:39
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-15 21:19
Bet Right🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 22:25
SportsBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-15 21:34
Coolbet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-15 21:14
Betr (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-15 21:14
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-04-15 23:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-15 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
Casumo🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
Grosvenor🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
LeoVegas🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
betPARX🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
Bally Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.70%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-15 23:04
TABtouch🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-15 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-15 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-15 23:04
BetRivers🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.47%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-15 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-15 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.28%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-15 20:40
888sport🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-15 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-15 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-15 22:24
Bet Victor🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-15 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.78%E -3.44%K -6.99%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-15 23:29
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.626%E -0.298%K -0.569%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.87%E -5.12%K -12.14%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-15 19:15

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%	-0.0%	2026-04-15 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%	1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%	0.2%	2026-04-15 23:40
ProphetX◎	2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%	0.4%	2026-04-15 23:34
Matchbook◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-04-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-04-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%	1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%	0.4%	2026-04-15 23:39
Novig◎	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%	0.9%	2026-04-15 23:38
Kalshi◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	1.1%	2026-04-15 23:40
Polymarket◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	1.1%	2026-04-15 21:49
Smarkets◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%	2.7%	2026-04-15 23:29