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Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Prediction 59.39%1.68fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.54%59.22%59.49%60.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6664.94%62.37%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 40.61%2.46fair odd
EV +0.709%
Edge +0.286%
Kelly +0.479%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%40.78%40.51%43.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.322.342.4846.30%43.04%42.74%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 59.39%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 40.61%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.709%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +0.709%E +0.286%K +0.479%G +0.003% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-13 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-13 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.915%E -0.375%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 23:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.16%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -7.01%E -3.06%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.54%E -5.54%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -11.47%E -5.26%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -11.88%E -5.47%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -1.41%E -0.849%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -12.29%E -5.69%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 22:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 23:40 |