La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 1–3 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 59.39%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.849%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.54%59.22%59.49%60.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.601.601.6664.94%62.37%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 40.61%2.46momio equitativo
EV +0.709%
Ventaja +0.286%
Kelly +0.479%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.36%40.78%40.51%43.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.322.342.4846.30%43.04%42.74%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +0.709%E +0.286%K +0.479%G +0.003%2.1%2026-05-13 23:20
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 23:30
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.915%E -0.375%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 23:20
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:05
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:10
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:10
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 23:05
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 23:38
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:10
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:05
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:25
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 23:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.16%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 21:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 15:44
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:25
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -7.01%E -3.06%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:54
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.54%E -5.54%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -11.47%E -5.26%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -11.88%E -5.47%K -10.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 23:40
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -1.41%E -0.849%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -12.29%E -5.69%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-13 23:25
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-13 22:34
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-13 23:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-13 23:40
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-13 23:40
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-13 23:39
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%11.7%2026-05-13 23:40