L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 23:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 1–3 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 59.39%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.849%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.54%59.22%59.49%60.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.601.601.6664.94%62.37%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.61%2.46cote équitable
EV +0.709%
Avantage +0.286%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.36%40.78%40.51%43.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.322.342.4846.30%43.04%42.74%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +0.709%E +0.286%K +0.479%G +0.003%2.1%2026-05-13 23:20
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:04
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.509%E -0.208%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 23:30
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.915%E -0.375%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 23:20
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:05
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.32%E -0.544%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:10
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.00%E -1.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:10
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-13 23:05
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.13%E -0.885%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 23:38
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:10
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:05
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:25
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-13 23:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.54%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:25
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 23:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.76%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 23:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.16%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 21:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:25
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.57%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.98%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:25
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 23:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 23:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 15:44
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.57%E -3.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 23:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:25
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -7.01%E -3.06%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 20:54
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.16%E -3.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.19%E -1.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.94%E -5.12%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:40
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.38%E -2.72%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.97%E -3.11%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.54%E -5.54%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -11.47%E -5.26%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-13 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.76%E -4.30%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -11.88%E -5.47%K -10.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 23:40
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -1.41%E -0.849%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -12.29%E -5.69%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-13 23:25
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-13 22:34
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-13 23:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-13 23:40
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-13 23:40
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-13 23:39
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-05-13 23:40
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%11.7%2026-05-13 23:40