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Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-03 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%56.88%56.85%57.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7362.50%59.64%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV +0.534%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.402%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.04%43.12%43.15%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.202.3347.62%45.06%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.85%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 43.15%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.33, producing a positive expected value of +0.534%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.534%E +0.229%K +0.402%G +0.002%2.1%2026-08-03 03:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.760%E -0.331%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.760%E -0.331%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 21:45
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.62%E -0.712%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 18:40
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.62%E -0.712%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 23:35
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.65%E -0.951%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 19:25
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 23:34
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:15
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:14
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:14
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 01:09
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 01:09
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 01:09
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:14
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 01:10
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 01:04
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 01:10
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 01:09
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 01:09
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 03:20
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:18
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:14
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 01:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 01:09
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 01:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.64%E -2.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 03:24
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:40
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 00:30
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:14
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:14
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:14
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:11
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:50
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:25
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:14
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:12
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 02:15
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 18:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:49
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.51%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 19:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:15
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.63%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:15
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -6.37%E -2.94%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 01:09
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:29
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 02:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 02:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-03 03:25
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-03 02:35
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-03 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-03 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-03 03:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%1.8%2026-08-03 03:14
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-03 03:10
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-08-03 03:15
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-08-03 03:15