Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-03 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 57.27%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%57.32%57.29%58.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.661.7164.10%60.24%60.24%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 42.73%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.442%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.332%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.12%42.68%42.71%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3346.51%44.34%44.44%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.27%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 42.73%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.33, con un valor esperado de -0.442%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.07%E -1.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 17:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.07%E -1.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.07%E -1.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 21:45
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.07%E -1.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.15%E -0.939%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 16:05
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.30%E -0.561%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 16:50
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 15:19
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.15%E -0.939%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-03 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.15%E -0.939%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-03 15:19
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.58%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 15:19
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.01%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 19:25
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 17:45
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 05:19
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 15:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:14
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:14
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.43%E -1.52%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:15
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:14
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 02:14
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 14:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 15:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:18
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:24
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:49
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 17:18
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 08:05
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 15:39
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 15:39
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:04
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 02:15
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 17:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:24
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 15:25
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 15:23
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:49
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 15:24
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.08%E -3.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 16:24
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.08%E -3.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 15:24
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.65%E -4.08%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.442%E -0.190%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.65%E -4.08%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.442%E -0.190%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.65%E -4.08%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.442%E -0.190%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:20
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.65%E -4.08%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.442%E -0.190%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:20
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.869%E -0.375%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:24
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.869%E -0.375%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.869%E -0.375%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:24
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.869%E -0.375%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.869%E -0.375%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:30
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.869%E -0.375%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:29
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:54
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 17:54
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.66%E -6.83%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-03 17:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-03 14:54
BetOpenly1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-03 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-03 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-03 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-03 17:45
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-03 17:50
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-03 03:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-03 17:40
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-08-03 17:50