Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-03 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 57.94%1.73odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.888%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.70%57.95%57.91%59.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.661.7062.50%60.42%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 42.06%2.38odd justa
EV +0.954%
Vantagem +0.398%
Kelly +0.682%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.45%42.05%42.09%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.262.252.4046.51%44.26%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.94%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 42.06%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.38. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.954%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV +0.954%E +0.398%K +0.682%G +0.007%1.9%2026-08-03 23:39
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.72%E -4.18%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.308%E -0.130%K -0.224%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.09%E -1.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.15%E -0.489%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 21:14
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.15%E -0.489%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.09%E -1.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.57%E -0.671%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.99%E -0.854%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.99%E -0.854%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 23:19
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.99%E -0.854%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 23:39
Caesars🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.51%E -0.888%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 23:35
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.41%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 23:25
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.51%E -0.888%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.83%E -1.23%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 20:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:34
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:38
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:40
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.25%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.51%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:44
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.93%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.09%E -1.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 05:19
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:04
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 21:05
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 23:30
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 23:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:09
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.20%E -2.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 20:34
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.62%E -2.98%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:30
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:29
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:28
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.72%E -4.18%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.56%E -4.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 23:40
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-03 23:40
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-03 23:40
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-03 23:40
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-03 21:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-03 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-08-03 23:39