The School of Odds
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Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-06 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 55.95%1.79fair odd
EV +0.158%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.80%55.90%55.95%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7960.61%58.49%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 44.05%2.27fair odd
EV -0.897%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.10%44.05%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.34%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 55.95%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 44.05%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.787. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.790, producing a positive expected value of +0.158%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV +0.158%E +0.088%K +0.200%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.961%E -0.543%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 20:25
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.52%E -0.864%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 23:30
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.897%E -0.399%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 21:45
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:34
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:55
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.74%E -2.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 00:15
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.18%E -2.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.71%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.38%E -4.03%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-06 00:25
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-06 00:05
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-05 20:00
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%3.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-08-06 00:50