Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-06 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 53.53%1.87odd justa
EV +0.098%
Vantagem +0.052%
Kelly +0.112%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%53.47%53.52%56.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.781.781.8758.48%56.12%56.18%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 46.47%2.15odd justa
EV +3.17%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +2.60%
Crescimento +0.082%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.51%46.53%46.48%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.852.032.052.2254.05%49.17%48.78%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 53.53%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 46.47%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.22, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV +3.17%E +1.43%K +2.60%G +0.082%3.5%2026-08-06 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.11%E -1.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.550%E -0.257%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-06 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.94%E -0.921%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 15:05
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:35
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.973%E -0.526%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 16:30
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.973%E -0.526%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 18:04
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-06 18:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 16:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 18:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:29
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.11%E -1.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 17:24
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 18:05
Betsson🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 18:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.18%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 18:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 18:10
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 18:10
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 18:04
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 18:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.098%E +0.052%K +0.112%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -11.70%E -6.16%K -13.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.973%E -0.526%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.03%E -7.58%K -16.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-06 18:10
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-08-06 18:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-06 17:20
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-06 12:50
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-08-06 18:09
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-08-06 18:10
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 54.19%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.81%12.5%2026-08-06 18:10