Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-06 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 55.95%1.79momio equitativo
EV -0.961%
Ventaja -0.543%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%55.90%55.95%56.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.50%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 44.05%2.27momio equitativo
EV -0.897%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.59%44.10%44.05%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.30%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 55.95%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 44.05%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.27. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.25, con un valor esperado de -0.897%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.961%E -0.543%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 20:25
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.52%E -0.864%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 23:24
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-06 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 23:30
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.897%E -0.399%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 21:45
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.22%E -0.999%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.64%E -1.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.20%E -1.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.42%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.76%E -2.19%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:34
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:55
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.32%E -2.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.74%E -2.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.88%E -2.87%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.86%E -2.25%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 00:15
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.44%E -3.22%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.18%E -2.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 19:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.00%E -3.57%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.62%E -3.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.30%E -2.47%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.50%E -3.57%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.71%E -4.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.68%E -4.65%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.38%E -4.03%K -7.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-06 00:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-06 01:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-05 20:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%3.3%2026-08-05 21:50
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-08-06 01:25