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Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 53.53%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.098%
Ventaja +0.052%
Kelly +0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%53.47%53.52%56.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.781.8758.48%56.12%56.18%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 46.47%2.15momio equitativo
EV +3.17%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +2.60%
Crecimiento +0.082%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.51%46.53%46.48%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.052.2254.05%49.17%48.78%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 53.53%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 46.47%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.15. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.22, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV +3.17%E +1.43%K +2.60%G +0.082% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.11%E -1.72%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.550%E -0.257%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.94%E -0.921%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.973%E -0.526%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -0.973%E -0.526%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 18:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.80%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 18:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.11%E -1.72%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 18:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.18%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 18:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.33%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.098%E +0.052%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -11.70%E -6.16%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.973%E -0.526%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.03%E -7.58%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.6% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.19% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.81% | 12.5% | 2026-08-06 18:10 |