The School of Odds

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets

2026-07-22 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%56.85%56.85%57.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7262%60%60%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV -0.761%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.586%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.15%43.15%43.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3048%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.21%E -1.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.06%E -0.906%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 18:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 19:05
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.761%E -0.331%K -0.586%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.19%E -0.521%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.19%E -0.521%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 18:20
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 18:00
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.51%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 19:55
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 19:19
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 20:05
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 21:50
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 21:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 19:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 19:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 18:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 17:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 21:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.78%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 20:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.94%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 19:18
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 19:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-21 22:30
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-07-21 22:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-07-21 19:20