Language:English
Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Prediction 58.70%1.70fair odd
EV -0.802%
Edge -0.474%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%58.82%58.67%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.621.6966.67%62.13%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV +5.32%
Edge +2.09%
Kelly +3.43%
Growth +0.183%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%41.18%41.33%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.352.312.5544.84%42.48%43.20%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 58.70%; New York Mets (Visit): 41.30%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.37%E -7.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV +2.43%E +0.980%K +1.64%G +0.040% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.70%E -0.714%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 15:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-22 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 16:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-22 18:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.802%E -0.474%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 15:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 17:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 15:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.26%E -4.59%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-07-22 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 18:05 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.