La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-07-22 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 58.70%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.802%
Ventaja -0.474%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%58.82%58.67%62.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.621.6966.67%62.13%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 41.30%2.42momio equitativo
EV +5.32%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +3.43%
Crecimiento +0.183%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.19%41.18%41.33%42.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.352.312.5544.84%42.48%43.20%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:10
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:08
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%5.0%2026-07-22 18:09
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%5.0%2026-07-22 18:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.37%E -7.53%K -22.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%5.4%2026-07-22 18:09
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV +2.43%E +0.980%K +1.64%G +0.040%7.0%2026-07-22 18:09
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.70%E -0.714%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 18:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 18:09
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 15:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 15:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 16:34
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 16:34
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 15:35
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 18:04
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 15:30
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.802%E -0.474%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 16:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 18:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 18:04
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 15:29
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 15:30
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 15:34
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:09
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 16:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:34
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 16:34
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 17:49
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 15:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 15:34
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 15:35
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:09
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:09
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:44
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:58
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:44
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.26%E -4.59%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-07-22 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-22 15:30
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-22 18:09
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-22 15:29
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-07-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-07-22 18:09
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-22 18:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-07-22 18:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-22 18:05