L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 18:11 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 58.70%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.802%
Avantage -0.474%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.84%58.82%58.67%62.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.621.6966.67%62.13%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.30%2.42cote équitable
EV +5.32%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +3.43%
Croissance +0.183%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.19%41.18%41.33%42.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.352.312.5544.84%42.48%43.20%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:10
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -10.19%E -6.66%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%4.6%2026-07-22 18:08
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%5.0%2026-07-22 18:09
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -10.78%E -7.09%K -20.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%5.0%2026-07-22 18:09
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.37%E -7.53%K -22.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +5.32%E +2.09%K +3.43%G +0.183%5.4%2026-07-22 18:09
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -11.95%E -7.97%K -23.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV +2.43%E +0.980%K +1.64%G +0.040%7.0%2026-07-22 18:09
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.70%E -0.714%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 18:09
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.56%E -1.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 18:09
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 15:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.11%E -0.891%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 15:35
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 16:34
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 16:34
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 15:35
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.94%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 18:04
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 15:30
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.802%E -0.474%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 16:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:09
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 18:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.18%E -1.80%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 18:04
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:09
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.59%E -1.99%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 15:29
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 15:30
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.15%E -1.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 15:34
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:09
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 16:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:34
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 16:34
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:49
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.91%E -3.03%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:44
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 17:49
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.00%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 15:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 15:34
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.75%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 15:35
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:09
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 18:09
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.74%E -2.28%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 17:29
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:44
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:58
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.08%E -3.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.07%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 15:44
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.26%E -4.59%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.89%E -3.54%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-07-22 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-22 15:30
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-22 18:09
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-22 15:29
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-07-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-07-22 18:09
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-22 18:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-07-22 18:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-22 18:05