Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–8 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 61.56%1.62fair odd
EV -0.887%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.43%61.57%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.551.6167.57%64.77%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 38.44%2.60fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%38.57%38.43%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.452.452.7145.45%40.85%40.82%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 61.56%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 38.44%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV +4.17%E +1.54%K +2.44%G +0.102%3.6%2026-08-07 23:40
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV +0.326%E +0.125%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.0%2026-08-07 16:35
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.442%E -0.171%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.21%E -0.471%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.21%E -0.471%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.12%E -1.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.60%E -0.623%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 23:35
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.98%E -0.776%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 17:40
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.89%E -6.01%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.98%E -0.776%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.13%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:30
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.887%E -0.551%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 14:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 21:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.36%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:55
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.51%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -10.05%E -4.30%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 23:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -15.43%E -7.02%K -12.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:40
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.00%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.00%0.5%2026-08-07 23:39
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 14:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-08-07 23:40
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.95%11.8%2026-08-07 23:40