Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–8 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 61.56%1.62odd justa
EV -0.887%
Vantagem -0.551%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%61.43%61.57%64.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.541.551.6167.57%64.77%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 38.44%2.60odd justa
EV +4.17%
Vantagem +1.54%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescimento +0.102%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.63%38.57%38.43%41.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.452.452.7145.45%40.85%40.82%36.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 61.56%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 38.44%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.60. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.71, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV +4.17%E +1.54%K +2.44%G +0.102%3.6%2026-08-07 23:40
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV +0.326%E +0.125%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.0%2026-08-07 16:35
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.442%E -0.171%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.21%E -0.471%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.21%E -0.471%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.12%E -1.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.60%E -0.623%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 23:35
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.98%E -0.776%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 17:40
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.89%E -6.01%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.98%E -0.776%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.13%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:30
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.887%E -0.551%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 14:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 21:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.36%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:55
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.51%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -10.05%E -4.30%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 23:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -15.43%E -7.02%K -12.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:40
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.00%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.00%0.5%2026-08-07 23:39
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 14:40
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-08-07 23:40
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.95%11.8%2026-08-07 23:40