Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-07 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 60.27%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.549%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.844%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.30%60.29%60.20%61.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.591.591.6564.94%63.08%62.89%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 39.73%2.52momio equitativo
EV +0.111%
Ventaja +0.044%
Kelly +0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.12%39.71%39.80%40.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.392.382.5243.86%41.78%42.02%39.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 60.27%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 39.73%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.517. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.520, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.111%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.111%E +0.044%K +0.073%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 06:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.287%E -0.114%K -0.190%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 06:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.287%E -0.114%K -0.190%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 06:45
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.684%E -0.274%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 04:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.684%E -0.274%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 05:50
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.684%E -0.274%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 06:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 06:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 06:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 06:50
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.07%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:35
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.549%E -0.333%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.26%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 04:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 04:25
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:05
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 06:40
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 05:00
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 06:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 06:05
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 06:39
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:05
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:06
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 06:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 04:05
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 04:58
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 04:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 06:55
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:05
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:45
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.85%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 04:45
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.25%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 04:05
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.36%E -1.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.25%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.25%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 06:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 06:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.77%E -3.02%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 04:55
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.64%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.56%E -2.23%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.04%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 04:30
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.17%E -2.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.83%E -3.38%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 04:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.58%E -4.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 06:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 06:35
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.18%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.42%E -4.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 05:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-08-07 07:40
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 04:55
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 06:35
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-07 07:35
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-08-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%4.6%2026-08-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%4.6%2026-08-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%5.0%2026-08-07 07:45
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%7.0%2026-08-07 07:35