Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-08-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–8 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 61.56%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.887%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%61.43%61.57%64.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.551.6167.57%64.77%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 38.44%2.60momio equitativo
EV +4.17%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +0.102%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.63%38.57%38.43%41.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.7145.45%40.85%40.82%36.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 61.56%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 38.44%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.60. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.71, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV +4.17%E +1.54%K +2.44%G +0.102%3.6%2026-08-07 23:40
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV +0.326%E +0.125%K +0.203%G +0.001%2.0%2026-08-07 16:35
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.442%E -0.171%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.827%E -0.320%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.21%E -0.471%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.21%E -0.471%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.12%E -1.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.60%E -0.623%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 23:35
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.98%E -0.776%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 17:40
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.89%E -6.01%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.98%E -0.776%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.13%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:30
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.887%E -0.551%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 14:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 21:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.90%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.82%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.36%E -3.05%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:55
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.35%E -2.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.51%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.73%E -1.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.97%E -2.54%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.66%E -5.11%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.67%E -4.11%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -4.58%E -2.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -10.05%E -4.30%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -10.44%E -4.48%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 23:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.81%E -3.80%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -5.20%E -3.37%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -15.43%E -7.02%K -12.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:40
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.00%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.00%0.5%2026-08-07 23:39
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-07 23:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 14:40
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-08-07 23:40
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.95%11.8%2026-08-07 23:40