Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 18:10 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 70.36%1.42fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.24%70.31%71.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.61%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.28%29.76%29.69%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.193.203.5033.90%31.31%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 70.36%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 29.64%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +3.75%E +1.07%K +1.50%G +0.056%1.0%2026-08-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +1.67%E +0.487%K +0.688%G +0.011%2.1%2026-08-09 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%EV -2.20%E -1.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%EV +0.189%E +0.056%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 15:20
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -2.20%E -1.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.29%E -0.388%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.29%E -0.388%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 16:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 18:04
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 15:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.77%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -3.07%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:05
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:55
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:45
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.74%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.92%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.92%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:10
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.56%E -4.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 70.89%3.41I 29.33%NM 29.11%0.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 15:10
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 14:35
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-09 18:10
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-08-09 18:10