默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 18:10 UTC

最终结果: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers (主队)

预测 70.36%1.42公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -3.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
68.18%70.24%70.31%71.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.61%73.53%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Minnesota Twins (客队)

预测 29.64%3.37公平赔率
EV +3.75%
优势 +1.07%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.056%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
28.28%29.76%29.69%31.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.193.203.5033.90%31.31%31.25%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Milwaukee Brewers (主队):70.36%;Minnesota Twins (客队):29.64%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.37。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.50,对应+3.75%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +3.75%E +1.07%K +1.50%G +0.056%1.0%2026-08-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +1.67%E +0.487%K +0.688%G +0.011%2.1%2026-08-09 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%EV -2.20%E -1.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%EV +0.189%E +0.056%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 15:20
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -2.20%E -1.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.29%E -0.388%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.29%E -0.388%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 16:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 18:04
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 15:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.77%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -3.07%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:05
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:55
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:45
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.74%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.92%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.92%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:10
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.56%E -4.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
BetOpenly◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.89%3.41I 29.33%NM 29.11%0.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 15:10
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 14:35
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-09 18:10
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-08-09 18:10