Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-09 18:10 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 70.36%1.42odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.24%70.31%71.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.61%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 29.64%3.37odd justa
EV +3.75%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.28%29.76%29.69%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.193.203.5033.90%31.31%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 70.36%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 29.64%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.37. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%EV +3.75%E +1.07%K +1.50%G +0.056%1.0%2026-08-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV +1.67%E +0.487%K +0.688%G +0.011%2.1%2026-08-09 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.86%EV -2.20%E -1.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.14%EV +0.189%E +0.056%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 15:20
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -2.20%E -1.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-09 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -0.700%E -0.209%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.29%E -0.388%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -1.29%E -0.388%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 17:45
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 16:55
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 18:04
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.18%E -0.661%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 15:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.77%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -3.07%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.37%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:05
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.66%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:55
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:45
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.91%E -2.11%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.74%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 17:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.63%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.92%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -6.92%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:10
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.59%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 16:15
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -12.56%E -4.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-09 17:30
BetOpenly◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.89%3.41I 29.33%NM 29.11%0.8%2026-08-09 18:05
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 15:10
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 14:35
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-09 18:10
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-08-09 18:10
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-08-09 18:10