Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 9–4 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 53.49%1.87fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.82%53.36%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.751.771.8561.35%57.14%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 46.51%2.15fair odd
EV +0.457%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.394%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%46.18%46.64%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.23%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 53.49%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 46.51%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.457%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.938%E -0.441%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.87%E -0.886%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:40
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:39
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.74%E -7.11%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.74%E -7.11%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 23:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.04%E -0.562%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.04%E -0.562%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -12.27%E -7.48%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -12.81%E -7.86%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 21:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 06:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 06:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 06:20
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 06:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 23:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 23:40
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 02:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 23:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 23:40
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 23:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-06-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-17 23:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 12:50
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-17 23:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-17 23:40
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-06-17 23:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-17 23:30
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-06-17 23:40