La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-06-17 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 9–4 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 53.49%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.82%53.36%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.751.771.8561.35%57.14%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 46.51%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.457%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.394%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%46.18%46.64%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.23%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:41
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.938%E -0.441%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 23:39
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 23:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.87%E -0.886%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 23:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 23:20
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.74%E -7.11%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.74%E -7.11%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 23:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.04%E -0.562%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 22:20
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.04%E -0.562%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 22:29
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -12.27%E -7.48%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -12.81%E -7.86%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 23:40
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 21:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 06:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 06:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 06:20
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 06:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 21:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 19:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:09
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 19:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 23:40
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 23:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 23:40
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 23:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:40
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 19:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 02:29
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 23:40
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 22:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 23:37
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-06-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-17 23:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 12:50
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-17 23:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-17 23:40
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-06-17 23:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-17 23:30
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-06-17 23:40