L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 23:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 9–4 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 53.49%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%53.82%53.36%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.751.771.8561.35%57.14%56.50%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.51%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.457%
Avantage +0.212%
Kelly +0.394%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%46.18%46.64%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.052.1651.28%48.23%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:41
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +0.457%E +0.212%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-17 23:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.008%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.938%E -0.441%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 23:39
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 23:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -11.20%E -6.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -1.40%E -0.662%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.87%E -0.886%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 23:39
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-17 23:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 23:20
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.74%E -7.11%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.74%E -7.11%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 23:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.04%E -0.562%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 22:20
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.04%E -0.562%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-17 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 22:29
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -2.80%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 23:40
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -12.27%E -7.48%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -12.81%E -7.86%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 23:40
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 21:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 06:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 06:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 06:20
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 06:20
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 21:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 19:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:09
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.85%E -3.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 19:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.39%E -3.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 23:40
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 23:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 23:40
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.18%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 23:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:40
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.78%E -2.69%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 19:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:10
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.25%E -2.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 22:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 02:29
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.32%E -3.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.92%E -3.98%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -10.13%E -6.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 23:40
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 22:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.71%E -2.06%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 23:37
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-06-17 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-17 23:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 12:50
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-17 23:40
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-06-17 23:40
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-06-17 23:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-17 23:30
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-06-17 23:40