Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Chicago Cubs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 59.50%1.68fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.63%59.43%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.6566.67%62.31%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.069%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.37%40.57%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.5544.44%42.35%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 59.50%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 40.50%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.75%E -7.17%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.28%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.9%2026-06-28 14:39
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.02%E -1.85%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.369%E -0.150%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 14:50
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.774%E -0.316%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.774%E -0.316%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.58%E -0.652%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:00
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.39%E -0.993%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:09
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 17:59
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:48
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 14:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 15:49
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 16:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:29
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.42%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:09
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:20
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 18:00
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.44%E -2.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:59
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 17:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 41.06%-0.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-28 15:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%3.9%2026-06-28 18:09