La scuola delle quote

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-06-28 18:11 UTC

Finale: Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Casa)

Previsione 59.50%1.68quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%59.63%59.43%62.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.611.611.6566.67%62.31%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.50%2.47quota equa
EV +3.28%
Vantaggio +1.28%
Kelly +2.11%
Crescita +0.069%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.04%40.37%40.57%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.362.352.5544.44%42.35%42.55%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.75%E -7.17%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.28%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.9%2026-06-28 14:39
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.02%E -1.85%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.369%E -0.150%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 14:50
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.774%E -0.316%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 15:49
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.774%E -0.316%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:59
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.58%E -0.652%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:00
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.39%E -0.993%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:09
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 17:59
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:48
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 14:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 18:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 15:49
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:19
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 14:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 16:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 15:30
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:29
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.42%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:49
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 16:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:09
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:20
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:39
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 14:39
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 18:00
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 18:00
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:10
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.44%E -2.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:59
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 15:49
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 18:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 17:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 41.06%-0.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-28 15:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%3.9%2026-06-28 18:09