L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-28 18:11 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 59.50%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%59.63%59.43%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.611.6566.67%62.31%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.50%2.47cote équitable
EV +3.28%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +2.11%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%40.37%40.57%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.362.352.5544.44%42.35%42.55%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.75%E -7.17%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.28%E +1.28%K +2.11%G +0.069%5.9%2026-06-28 14:39
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.02%E -1.85%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.369%E -0.150%K -0.253%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 14:50
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.774%E -0.316%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 15:49
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.774%E -0.316%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 17:59
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.58%E -0.652%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:00
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.39%E -0.993%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:09
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 17:59
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:48
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 14:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 18:09
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 15:49
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:19
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 14:50
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 16:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 15:30
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:29
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.42%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:49
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 16:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:09
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:20
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:39
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 14:39
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 18:00
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 18:00
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:10
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.44%E -2.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:59
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 15:49
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 18:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 17:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.78%E -5.02%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 17:59
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 41.06%-0.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-28 15:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-06-28 18:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%3.9%2026-06-28 18:09