Language:English
Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 63.10%1.58fair odd
EV -0.934%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.80%63.10%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.531.5769.44%65.58%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 36.90%2.71fair odd
EV +0.369%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.20%36.90%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.552.7243.48%39.08%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 63.10%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 36.90%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.369%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%EV +0.369%E +0.136%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV +0.369%E +0.136%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.34%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.934%E -0.595%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 19:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.24%E -4.93%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.43%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.80%E -1.86%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 20:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.80%E -1.86%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.17%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.17%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.59%E -3.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.59%E -3.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -13.28%E -5.65%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.13%E -6.58%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.13%E -6.58%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |