Idioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 63.10%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.934%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%62.80%63.10%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.531.5769.44%65.58%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 36.90%2.71momio equitativo
EV +0.369%
Ventaja +0.136%
Kelly +0.215%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%37.20%36.90%40.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.552.7243.48%39.08%39.22%36.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 63.10%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 36.90%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.71. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.72, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.369%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%EV +0.369%E +0.136%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV +0.369%E +0.136%K +0.215%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.34%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.934%E -0.595%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 19:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.24%E -4.93%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.43%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.80%E -1.86%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 20:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.80%E -1.86%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.17%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.17%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.59%E -3.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.59%E -3.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -13.28%E -5.65%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.13%E -6.58%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.13%E -6.58%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-08-22 20:09 |