Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-08-22 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–2 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 63.10%1.58odd justa
EV -0.934%
Vantagem -0.595%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.74%62.80%63.10%64.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.521.531.5769.44%65.58%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 36.90%2.71odd justa
EV +0.369%
Vantagem +0.136%
Kelly +0.215%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.47%37.20%36.90%40.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.562.552.7243.48%39.08%39.22%36.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 63.10%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 36.90%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.71. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.72, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.369%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%EV +0.369%E +0.136%K +0.215%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-22 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV +0.369%E +0.136%K +0.215%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-22 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 11:29
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 20:09
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.369%E -0.137%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 19:59
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.21%E -0.835%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 20:09
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 14:04
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.34%K -20.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.32%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 20:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.934%E -0.595%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 19:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 19:59
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 19:23
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 03:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 20:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:58
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:59
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 20:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.24%E -4.93%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.43%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.80%E -1.86%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 20:03
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.80%E -1.86%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.17%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 20:04
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.17%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:39
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:44
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:39
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:59
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.90%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 19:59
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 20:09
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.59%E -3.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.59%E -3.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 20:09
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.56%E -1.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.44%E -4.77%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -13.28%E -5.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 20:09
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.13%E -6.58%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:58
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -15.13%E -6.58%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-08-22 20:05
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-08-22 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-22 20:09
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-22 20:10
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-22 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-22 20:09
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 19:00
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%1.8%2026-08-22 20:09
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-22 20:09
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-08-22 20:09