语言:简体中文
Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Marlins (主队)
预测 59.29%1.69公平赔率
EV -0.401%
优势 -0.239%
Kelly -0.590%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.68
博彩公司预测分布
56.85%59.12%59.31%60.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.70%61.73%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Washington Nationals (客队)
预测 40.71%2.46公平赔率
EV +0.159%
优势 +0.064%
Kelly +0.109%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.46
博彩公司预测分布
39.70%40.88%40.69%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.342.352.4645.45%42.81%42.55%40.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Marlins (主队)：59.29%；Washington Nationals (客队)：40.71%。 对于“Washington Nationals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.456。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.460，对应+0.159%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +0.159%E +0.064%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.248%E -0.101%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.248%E -0.101%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 18:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.06%E -0.437%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.88%E -0.779%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 17:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 19:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 05:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 17:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 01:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.73%E -2.02%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.73%E -2.02%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.13%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.13%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.13%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -0.994%E -0.595%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 02:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.401%E -0.239%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.994%E -0.595%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.59%E -0.956%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.19% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 06:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 02:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 17:14 |