مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-05-09 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 8–7 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.29%1.69السعر العادل
EV -0.401%
الأفضلية -0.239%
Kelly -0.590%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%59.12%59.31%60.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.621.621.6863.69%61.70%61.73%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.71%2.46السعر العادل
EV +0.159%
الأفضلية +0.064%
Kelly +0.109%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.70%40.88%40.69%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.342.352.4645.45%42.81%42.55%40.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +0.159%E +0.064%K +0.109%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.248%E -0.101%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 18:44
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.248%E -0.101%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 18:43
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -1.06%E -0.437%K -0.743%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-09 19:54
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.88%E -0.779%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 17:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 20:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:10
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:09
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.28%E -0.952%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:09
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 19:04
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 19:04
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 17:13
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 19:52
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 05:29
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 17:13
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 17:09
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 01:14
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:04
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:09
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:09
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:04
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:09
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:04
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.73%E -2.02%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:04
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.73%E -2.02%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:09
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.13%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:09
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.13%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:09
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.13%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:04
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -0.994%E -0.595%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 19:14
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.18%E -1.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 02:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 19:34
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:08
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:59
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:54
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:04
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:14
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:14
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:14
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:14
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:14
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.401%E -0.239%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 20:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.994%E -0.595%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -1.59%E -0.956%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 20:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-05-09 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-09 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-09 20:10
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.19%0.7%2026-05-09 20:05
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-09 06:45
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-09 02:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-09 19:50
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-05-09 20:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-05-09 20:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-05-09 17:14